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POKER CHARTS FOR TEXAS HOLD EM

 

taken from an anonymous forum thread

There are two basic schools of discipline you'll encounter when developing into a complete Texas Holdem poker player. The first is the school of odds, outs, and mathematics. Some poker players are very calculating and mathematical, and are mathematical geniuses (David Sklansky, Chris Ferguson). Other players are less confined to the mathematics of the game, and work more off of instinct, reads, and guts (Jennifer Harman, Gus Hansen). Needless to say, these top professionals have mastered both sides of the game and can switch their game up in an instant.

Poker players must incorporate both schools into their poker game to become a complete and successful player. This section of our website will present the simple poker odds and poker charts to quickly help you develop the "by the book" Texas Holdem strategy. Charts are easy to follow. However, as mentioned in other areas of this website, charts, odds, etc. can only get you so far. Situational thinking and analysis is so important when playing the game of poker, and this comes from experience. It's very important to understand the math and odds behind poker. However, a strictly by the book poker player will get crushed by the poker player who has the complete game - one who understands the poker odds but also works off his opponent's fear, reads, tells, and his own instinct and experience.

I think it's very important to understand the odds and probabilities in Texas Holdem. It's isn't the one and only deciding factor when making a decision, but it is one of several supporting arguments. And, fortunately, the poker odds are really the easiest thing to master in Texas Holdem.


Group 0: AA KK
Group 1: QQ JJ AKs
Group 2: TT AK AQs AJs KQs
Group 3: AQ 99 ATs KJs QJs KTs
Group 4: 88 AJ KQ QTs A9s JTs AT A8s
Group 5: KJ 77 QJ KT QT JT A7s K9s Q9s T9s J9s
Group 6: 66 55 44 33 22 A5s A6s A4s A3s A2s
Group 7: A9 K9 98s 87s 76s Kxs(?) T8s(?) 97s(?) 86s(?) 54s(?)

(?) Denotes play depending on weakness/strength of table and players, late/button position, number of limpers and other factors.



 
Number of Outs                  Percentage of Hitting on
 Turn or River
1                               4.4
2                               8.4
3                               12.5
4 (Inside straight draw)        16.5
5                               20.3
6 (Two overs)                   24.1
7                               27.8
8 (Open ended straight draw)    31.5
9 (Flush draw)                  35.0
10                              38.4
11                              41.7
12 (Flush draw + Gut shot)      45.0
13                              48.1
14                              51.2
15 (Straight Flush draw)        54.1
16                              57.0
17                              59.8
18                              62.4


Number of Outs                  Percentage of Hitting on River
1                               2.2
2                               4.3
3                               6.5
4 (Inside straight draw)        8.7
5                               10.9
6 (Two overs)                   13.0
7                               15.2
8 (Open ended straight draw)    17.4
9 (Flush draw)                  19.6
10                              21.7
11                              23.9
12 (Flush draw + Gut shot)      26.1
13                              28.3
14                              30.4
15 (Straight Flush draw)        32.6
16                              34.8
17                              37.0
18                              39.1    
If you don't like memorizing charts then there are some shortcuts that can be used. For example, if you have 1 to 9 outs and the turn and river cards are yet to be seen then you can multiply your outs times 4 to come within 1 percentage point of the true chances of hitting your card. This covers the inside straight draw(4 outs), 2 overs(6 outs), the open ended straight draw(8 outs) and the flush draw(9 outs).

For example, 2 overs is 6 outs multiplied by 4 is 24% which is your approximate chance of getting at least one of your overs.

 



Here we will present some basic scenarios so you can see what your odds are of getting dealt certain cards or making certain hands.

If you'd like a free Texas Hold'em Odds Calculator, there is a great downloadable application provided by Cambridge University's "Card Playing Society". The tool allows you to pick the cards for up to 7 players and have them play head-to-head up to 1,000,000 hands, and will then give the percentages of which hand won. The application allows you to select which poker game you're playing, either 5-Stud, 7-Stud, or Texas Holdem. You may then select how many cards the players will stay in for (up to 7), whether it's a high game, low game, or split game, and then how many deals you'd like them to play with those specific hands (up to 1,000,000). The application will show the percentages of which hand won, and how it came about winning (pair, flush, etc). It's a great tool to help figure out odds, without calculating them yourself. I would recommend running all your scenarios against the 1,000,000 deals option. You can download the application here: Poker Hand Analyzer From Cambridge.

Alternatively, you may want to check out Texas Calculatem - the ultimate poker odds calculator that can provide you on the fly odds while playing at Party Poker or Empire Poker. The software provides a table overlay so you can see the numbers on your poker table as you play! Texas Calculatem is an excellent poker tool, and they offer a free trial version, check it out.
 


Here are some common Texas Holdem poker probabilities of various scenarios so you can understand your chances when trying to make a winning hand. The card pictures illustrate the hands and scenarios described.
 


 
Probability of Being Dealt:

A Pocket Pair:
Poker Odds - Pocket Pair Poker Odds - Pocket Pair
5.9%

Pocket Rockets:
Poker Odds - Pocket Rockets
.45%

Two Suited Cards:
Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards
23.5%

Two Connected Cards:
Poker Odds - Two Connected Cards Poker Odds - Two Connected Cards
15.7%


 
Probability of Flopping:

A Flush When Holding 2 Suited Cards:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards
Flopping:
Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards
.84%

A Flush Draw When Holding 2 Suited Cards:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards
Flopping:
Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards Poker Odds - Two Suited Cards
11%

Trips or Quads When Holding a Pair:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Trips Poker Odds - Trips
Flopping:
Poker Odds - Trips Poker Odds - Trips Poker Odds - Trips
11.8%

A Pair, 2 Pair, Trips, or Quads When Holding Two Unpaired Cards:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Pair Poker Odds - Pair
Flopping:
Poker Odds - Pair Poker Odds - Pair Poker Odds - Pair
32.4%

 


 

After the flop, the decisions in Texas Holdem get a bit tougher on what your best action should be. Understanding pot odds will help in this part of the poker game. Check out our Texas Hold'em Pot Odds article to learn more about pot odds, what pot odds are, calculating your pot odds, implied odds, etc. You can also view our Texas Hold'em Pot Odds Chart here.

 

Probability of Hitting:

An Inside Straight Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Inside Straight Draw Poker Odds - Inside Straight Draw
Flop:
Poker Odds - Inside Straight Draw Poker Odds - Inside Straight Draw Poker Odds - Inside Straight Draw
16.5%

An Open-Ended Straight Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Open-Ended Straight Draw Poker Odds - Open-Ended Straight Draw
Flop:
Poker Odds - Open-Ended Straight Draw Poker Odds - Open-Ended Straight Draw Poker Odds - Open-Ended Straight Draw
31.5%

A Flush Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Flush Draw Poker Odds - Flush Draw
Flop:
Poker Odds - Flush Draw Poker Odds - Flush Draw Poker Odds - Flush Draw
35%

A Flush Draw or Open-Ended Straight Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:
Poker Odds - Straight Flush Draw Poker Odds - Straight Flush Draw
Flop:
Poker Odds - Straight Flush Draw Poker Odds - Straight Flush Draw Poker Odds - Straight Flush Draw
54.1%

 


 

Here are some common Texas Holdem poker hand match-ups, so you can see your approximate chances of winning.

 

Higher Pocket Pair vs Lower Pocket Pair

Poker Odds - Higher Pocket Pair vs Lower Pocket Pair Poker Odds - Higher Pocket Pair vs Lower Pocket Pair 81.5%
Poker Odds - Higher Pocket Pair vs Lower Pocket Pair Poker Odds - Higher Pocket Pair vs Lower Pocket Pair 18.5%

Over-Cards vs Lower Pocket Pair

Poker Odds - Over-Cards vs Lower Pocket Pair Poker Odds - Over-Cards vs Lower Pocket Pair 46%
Poker Odds - Over-Cards vs Lower Pocket Pair Poker Odds - Over-Cards vs Lower Pocket Pair 54%

Dominated Hand

Poker Odds - Dominated Hand 75%
Poker Odds - Dominated Hand Poker Odds - Dominated Hand 25%

Severely Dominated Hand

  Poker Odds - Severely Dominated Hand 92.6%
Poker Odds - Severely Dominated Hand Poker Odds - Severely Dominated Hand 7.4%

Two Unsuited Overcards vs Two Unsuited Undercards

Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards 63%
Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards 37%

Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards 67%
Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards Poker Odds - Two Unsuited Undercards vs Two Unsuited Overcards 33%

 

 

 

 

 

 

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